NSE India : S&P CNX Nifty — Daily Market Report for:
Monday (July 30, 2012) By Dominic Rebello
Review of the Previous day:
The Nifty rose substantially on Friday (July 27, 2012) a net 56.85 points (1.13%) and closed at the 5099 point level. The market opened up with a gap at the 5124 points level on positive global cues. It then turned into a range bound movement until 10.55 a.m. The index then rose and registered the day’s high at the 5149 points level at 11.30 a.m. It then declined and turned into a range bound movement until 2.15 p.m. It then declined further and registered the day’s low at the 5077 points level at 2.34 p.m. It then rose and turned into a range bound movement until closing at the day. The Nifty moved in a range of 72 points and closed just a point below the psychologically important 5100 points level. Sentiment was bullish and amongst the 50 Nifty stocks 37 were gainers, while 13 were losers. Heavy buying was seen in metal, FMCG, IT and technology stocks, while selling was seen in realty, capital goods and healthcare stocks.
Volume (Qty shares) decreased 25.49%. This change is substantial but indicates a moderate participation by investors.
Overall Market Breadth on the NSE was negative. Amongst all the traded stocks, 496 were gainers, 933 were losers and 66 remained unchanged.
Slow Stochastic Indicator:
The Slow Stochastic Oscillator has risen in the over-sold zone.
The Slow K line in the Stochastic Oscillator has risen above the slow D line (positive and a buy signal).
The RSI rose and crossed above the 40 level and is now rising (positive if it continues).
The MACD is below zero and is declining (negative if it continues). It is below its 9-day Average (negative).
ADX Indicator & DI Lines:
The +DI line is below the –DI line but both lines are converging (positive if it continues).
The ADX is flat while the Market Index is rising. No signal here.
Moving Averages (Trend Indicators)
Has crossed above its 5-day average (at 5099) Positive.
Is below its 15-day average (at 5196) Negative.
Is below its 25-day average (at 5210) Negative.
Is below its 200-day average (at 5103) Negative.
Overall Market Strength/Weakness:
The indicators and oscillators discussed here are indicating a weak market but with a positive bias.
For short-term traders the immediate main support is at 4926 marked as S1.
The next support is at 4724 marked as S2.
The immediate main resistance is at 5472 marked as R1.
The next resistance is at 5653 marked as R2.
Pivot Point Analysis:
For intra-day traders the support and resistance levels are calculated according to the pivot point theory and are:
Pivot point = 5109 (This is the level where the trend is likely to change during intra-day).
Support (1) = 5068.
Support (2) = 5037.
Resistance (1) = 5141.
Resistance (2) = 5182.
OUTLOOK FOR TODAY:
On Japanese candlestick patterns the index after having formed a long black body candle has formed a spinning top indicating indecisiveness amongst investors. The next candle formation will confirm whether the bias is towards the buy or sell side of the market.
However, the index has crossed above the 5 day’s moving average. This is positive. But, the index is still below the 15, 25 and 200 day’s moving averages. The velocity parameters continue to indicate weakness. Both these indicate a negative bias. Investors are advised to avoid buying at present levels.