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Quarterly earnings, global cues to dictate market trend this week

Monday, April 16, 2018

The stock market behaviour this week will be guided by quarterly earnings, including that of IT sector bellwether TCS, as well as macroeconomic data and geopolitical developments, say experts.

"A meaningful recovery in earnings will be the key for the continuation of India's performance," said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services. India's largest software services firm Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) will announce its fourth quarter results on April 19.

The week would also witness earnings announcements by IndusInd Bank, HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company, ACC, Mindtree, Crisil and Reliance Power, among others.

"The earnings recovery was elusive for last few years even though market scaled new heights at every interval. However, last two quarters have given some ray of hope for investors for pick-up in earnings given better-than-expected GDP growth and normalisation in GST implementation," Nair added.

With the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) data out, investors will be keeping their eyes on inflation data based on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI).

"On the macro front, WPI inflation... Data for March will be announced on April 16," Anita Gandhi, Whole Time Director, Arihant Capital Markets.

The official data released last week showed that the country's IIP grew by a healthy 7.1% in February while the key retail inflation based on CPI slipped to a five-month low of 4.28% in March. Gandhi also said cooling down of trade war tensions between China and US boosted the market sentiment but concern over crude price is still there in the market.

Geopolitical tensions have ratcheted up after the US, Britain and France carried out air strikes against Bashar al-Assad's Syrian regime in response to alleged chemical weapons attacks.

"The macro economic scenario for the country looks favourable for now, with industrial output continuing its healthy expansion and retail inflation moderating further," Nair said.

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